Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 213.809618 249.990465 292.131939 345.266048 411.071351 490.685098 5.955068e+02
2025-07-27 165.696165 210.153003 267.660145 349.073015 463.999228 624.653565 8.741621e+02
2025-08-03 140.965942 188.952398 255.707275 358.447943 518.505415 769.333968 1.216828e+03
2025-08-10 122.087558 170.550558 241.789758 358.822711 556.241832 896.765341 1.583395e+03
2025-08-17 109.267575 158.052081 233.217803 363.944120 600.801910 1047.470426 2.062194e+03
2025-08-24 97.993700 145.854839 222.530699 362.472915 632.245373 1183.254976 2.582656e+03
2025-08-31 89.137936 136.063268 213.896526 362.299285 665.295832 1333.103483 3.228022e+03
2025-09-07 82.799155 129.444813 209.424367 368.535164 712.444062 1531.631383 4.147582e+03
2025-09-14 74.233035 117.991067 194.776875 352.194239 706.702067 1600.977141 4.727956e+03
2025-09-21 69.049948 111.798955 188.788746 352.105801 737.753288 1778.765600 5.847472e+03
2025-09-28 64.921525 107.000741 184.716450 355.191687 777.257863 1998.420972 7.374444e+03
2025-10-05 63.694097 107.307717 190.418465 380.599728 881.024222 2468.281098 1.072000e+04
2025-10-12 62.132575 107.257388 196.312727 410.141857 1014.201581 3155.517629 1.697028e+04
2025-10-19 58.305338 102.486166 191.993022 414.913060 1080.423963 3661.034024 2.374674e+04
2025-10-26 55.458944 99.295827 190.527049 426.563187 1173.859630 4372.231901 3.547022e+04
2025-11-02 52.095258 94.672104 185.240062 427.029317 1231.263953 4981.530759 4.992374e+04
2025-11-09 49.486931 91.316674 182.327496 433.399791 1313.563895 5823.942721 7.520271e+04
2025-11-16 46.624921 87.128875 176.924581 431.569256 1365.307159 6566.191191 1.083283e+05
2025-11-23 44.139004 83.500638 172.376051 431.353247 1424.729394 7455.378641 1.623030e+05
2025-11-30 42.313150 81.127496 170.549953 439.114832 1523.134693 8801.897443 2.750879e+05
2025-12-07 39.209895 75.658019 160.439263 418.791818 1487.829508 9037.773031 3.445959e+05
2025-12-14 37.371771 72.871644 156.767868 418.681970 1548.793935 10257.322920 5.699310e+05
2025-12-21 35.863588 70.700440 154.410368 422.515821 1632.584432 11905.746489 1.067217e+06